What you had to do to make it to the 2016 Masters Qualifier

The CrossFit Open is all about numbers.

How many reps did you do in 16.1? What was your time in 16.5? How many people went faster or slower? It’s all numerical, and I like numbers.

As I did in 2014 and 2015, I took a snapshot of what it took to make it into the Masters Qualifier in 2016. As a refresher, the top 20 Masters in each 2016Games-logo“over 40” age group are invited to the Games. Before that happens there is a weekend of WODs, performed wherever you happen to be, where the top-200 finishers in each Age Group are allowed to compete. Think of it as a mini-Games but done in your own box.

What did it take in 2016 to get into the Top-200 of each Age Group? By updating my spreadsheet from last year it was pretty easy to figure out.

Methodology – I pulled the results from each age group of the people who finished from 190th to 210th place in the Open. This includes 10 people who made it into the MQ and 10 who didn’t, but it gives a solid indicator of what it took to come in right at 200th place. For this exercise we’ll set aside that it’s basically the Top-20 in the Open who make it to the Games with some exceptions (as I wrote about in a previous post, Does the Open even Matter?). This post is only about making it into the Top-200, and it’s meant as a general guideline and not a comprehensive analysis. Use this to start planning your training for 2017 if your goal is to get to the MQ.

So, what did it take to make it into the Top-200?

Screen Shot 2016-03-31 at 11.29.50 AM

Some  explanation:

  • I have not figured out a way to elegantly adjust for Scaled Scores
  • Cells with “VALUE!” are where 1 or more participants cracked the Top-200 with a Scaled score
  • I think it was the W55-59 where there is a Scaled score at 180th place, but not in 190-210
  • “Dev” is the standard deviation

How does this compare to last year? Given that the WODs are different, the reps are different too. However, when it comes to Scaled Scores, the results are VERY different. In 2015 there were several Female divisions where it was possible to advance to the MQ with a Scaled score. This year – not so much. Only the 60+ age groups, this year both male and female, see a Scaled score at the 200th place range. With the given data it’s not possible to say why this is: competition is much tougher, WODs were more accessible, whatever.

2 thoughts on “What you had to do to make it to the 2016 Masters Qualifier

  1. Doug P

    There was one big reason why you see fewer scaled scores in the top 200 — more participants. It’s a bit like inflation. The dollar today is worth less than it was worth 20 years ago. The top 200 this year is harder to reach than it was last year.

    Two years ago, when I last did the Open, there were only about 2500 people who entered and 1500 finishing all five workouts in my division (Masters Men 50-54). This year there were twice as many. This halves your chance of making it to the top 200 from 2014 since the top 200 this year is 200/3300 or about 6% of the total whereas you only had to be in the top 13% (200/1500) in 2014.

    Adjust your spreadsheet to consider the percentile ranking of what the top 200 meant last year to the same ranking this year. That may mean you’d look at the top 300 this year (for comparison purposes) and find those additional scaled scores start showing up again. Or, conversely, adjust last year’s top 200 to be the same percentile as this year’s and you may be looking at only 150
    participants for last year. Out of those 150, how many were scaled?

     
  2. Getting to Rx

    Very true. Bigger pool of talent increases the difficulty. Also consider people who have aged up and now have 4+ years of experience, several years of increased degree of difficulty, more focus on skills. It’s amazing how the bar gets raised every year.

     

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